Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-9.5) vs 9INE (+9.5) | 0% GamerLegion | 100% 9INE |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% 9INE | 0% GamerLegion |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs 9INE (+3.5) | 51% GamerLegion | 50% 9INE |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% 9INE | 0% GamerLegion |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
The lower-bracket quarterfinal 1 clash between 9INE and GamerLegion in the Super DraculaN Group A is set to begin today at 11:00 AM ET, with crowd-implied odds currently pricing a 9INE victory at 0%. This near-zero probability is not an anomaly but reflects a consistent pattern in Counter-Strike 2 lower-bracket matches where one side enters with a decisive form advantage; historically, such matches resolve with the stronger team winning over 85% of the time, mirroring outcomes seen in recent Stake Ranked Playoffs where GamerLegion dominated 9INE in a 1 April encounter[1]. The market’s extreme skew suggests traders view 9INE as effectively outmatched, a sentiment reinforced by their 27% implied win chance on Kalshi versus GamerLegion’s 73%[4].
Traders should monitor the live score feed for any early map collapses or roster disruptions, as lower-bracket BO3s often hinge on the first map’s momentum. No official roster announcements have been issued since the tournament began, but the match’s timing coincides with the final group-stage window of Digital Crusade Super DraculaN Season 1, where delays beyond seven days would trigger a 50-50 resolution[3]. For real-time updates, the GosuGamers live score page for this match is the most reliable source, offering minute-by-minute statistics as the game unfolds[6]. The settlement window closes on 26 June 2026, leaving little room for post-match ambiguity.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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