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Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Live odds for "Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5) 59% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) 57% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) 54% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5) 53% Volume: $131K Liquidity: $332K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
59% 41% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
59% 41% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)59%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)57%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)54%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)53%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.547%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.544%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.542%
O/U 2.5 Games37%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)34%
Map 1 Winner27%
Map 2 Winner23%
Match Winner17%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 59% probability to counter-strike: 100 thieves vs spirit (bo3) - blast bounty qualifier. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between 100 Thieves and Spirit in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 26 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "100…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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