T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies

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Market context

Ireland and West Indies will meet in a Women's T20 tri-series match on 1 June 2026, with the current market pricing suggesting near-certainty of a decisive result. The 100% YES probability reflects confidence that the fixture will proceed as scheduled and produce a winner under standard playing conditions, whether through regular play, DLS adjustments, or a Super Over if required.

Historical context for women's T20 tri-series matches shows fixture cancellations remain rare once squads are named and venues confirmed. The West Indies women's team has maintained consistent participation in international tri-series tournaments over the past three years, with only weather-related postponements affecting scheduling rather than outright cancellations. Ireland's domestic infrastructure and hosting capacity have proven reliable for multi-team formats, reducing the likelihood of venue-related withdrawals.

Traders should monitor team announcements in the fortnight before 1 June, particularly injury updates or squad changes that might affect participation confidence. Weather forecasts for the Irish venue become material in the final week, though June conditions typically favour play. Any late-stage fixture rescheduling within the tri-series structure would be published through the International Cricket Council or host broadcaster channels. The settlement window closing on 8 June provides a five-day buffer for result confirmation via ESPNcricinfo, standard for international women's cricket matches.

Methodology

We track T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indies on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.