Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Henan FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Beijing Guoan and Henan FC meet in the Chinese Super League on 23 May, with the match kicking off at 7:35 AM ET. The 0% implied probability suggests traders are either awaiting additional market options or reflecting genuine uncertainty about what specific outcome this particular market is pricing. Settlement closes shortly after the scheduled fixture time, leaving minimal window for late-breaking developments.
Guoan have historically dominated this fixture, though recent seasons have seen Henan improve their competitive standing within the league. The clubs' relative form heading into May matters considerably—Guoan typically challenge for title contention, whilst Henan have oscillated between mid-table finishes and relegation-zone struggles. Previous encounters between these sides have often reflected the gap in squad depth and investment, though Chinese Super League fixtures remain volatile enough that form lines don't always hold. The 0% reading may indicate the market is waiting for clarification on what specific outcome is being priced rather than reflecting genuine equipoise.
Traders should monitor team news releases for injury confirmations or squad rotation decisions, particularly given the fixture's early morning ET timing may affect how Western-based traders engage. Recent Chinese Super League scheduling has occasionally shifted matches, though official confirmation of the 23 May date should be verified through CSL or club channels. Weather conditions in Beijing in late May typically favour open, attacking football. Any late tactical announcements from either manager could shift how the broader market interprets available options once additional markets populate.
Methodology
This page reviews Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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