Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 39.5 | 93% |
| O/U 41.5 | 93% |
| O/U 37.5 | 92% |
| O/U 35.5 | 91% |
| O/U 43.5 | 89% |
| O/U 45.5 | 86% |
| O/U 47.5 | 83% |
| Houston O/U 23.5 | 82% |
| O/U 49.5 | 79% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 20.5 | 79% |
| Houston O/U 26.5 | 79% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 75% |
| O/U 51.5 | 74% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 72% |
| O/U 53.5 | 71% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 23.5 | 69% |
| O/U 55.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 64% |
| Spread -0.5 | 62% |
| O/U 57.5 | 62% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 26.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 61% |
| Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| O/U 59.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 13.5 | 55% |
| Houston 1H O/U 14.5 | 54% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 53% |
| Houston 1H O/U 12.5 | 53% |
| Houston 1H O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Houston O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Houston 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Houston Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. Houston: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. Houston: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Oklahoma State vs. Houston: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| O/U 63.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Spread -5.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 45% |
| Spread -6.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| O/U 65.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 41% |
| 1H Moneyline | 41% |
| Houston O/U 32.5 | 40% |
| Houston O/U 35.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| O/U 67.5 | 39% |
| Oklahoma State vs. Houston | 38% |
| Spread -0.5 | 38% |
| Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 38% |
| Houston O/U 29.5 | 37% |
| Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| O/U 69.5 | 34% |
| Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| Spread -10.5 | 31% |
| O/U 71.5 | 31% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| O/U 73.5 | 25% |
| Spread -5.5 | 24% |
| Spread -14.5 | 24% |
| Spread -16.5 | 23% |
| O/U 75.5 | 23% |
| Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Oklahoma State O/U 32.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| Spread -20.5 | 16% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 9% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 4% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 93% YES probability for Oklahoma State vs. Houston. In the upcoming college football game between Oklahoma State and Houston, scheduled for October 17 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oklahoma State" if Oklahoma State win the game. This marke…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $215K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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