Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Florida International O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Florida International O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Florida International 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Florida International Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Florida International Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Florida International Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Florida International Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 100% |
| Florida International Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 100% |
| Florida International Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Florida International Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Florida International Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Florida International Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Florida International Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Florida International Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Florida International Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Florida International Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Florida International O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| O/U 51.5 | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| O/U 67.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 71.5 | 0% |
| O/U 73.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Florida International O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| Florida International O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Florida International O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Florida International 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State 2H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 0% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 0% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 0% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 0% |
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Florida International Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 0% |
| Florida International Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Florida International Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 0% |
| Florida International Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 0% |
| Florida International 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 0% |
| Florida International 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Florida International Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Florida International Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Florida International Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Florida International Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Jacksonville State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Florida International vs. Jacksonville State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
Market context
Florida International vs. Jacksonville State. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 0% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-14T00:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.3M.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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