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Fluminense FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Fluminense FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 73% Volume: $164K Liquidity: $186K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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Fluminense FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.573%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.562%
Both Teams to Score56%
Fluminense FC O/U 0.556%
Both Teams to Score in First Half50%
1st Half O/U 2.550%
Fluminense FC 1st Half O/U 0.550%
Fluminense FC 1st Half O/U 1.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 1.550%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Fluminense FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Fluminense FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.538%
O/U 2.536%
CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)20%
Fluminense FC O/U 1.518%
1st Half O/U 1.514%
O/U 3.513%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 2.57%
CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)4%
Fluminense FC O/U 2.54%
O/U 4.53%
Fluminense FC (-1.5)2%
Fluminense FC (-2.5)1%
O/U 5.51%

Market context

The Fluminense FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. More markets for the Copa do Brasil game, scheduled for August 5 at 8:30 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Fluminense FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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