Ceará SC vs. Athletic Club - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Ceará SC will face Athletic Club in a Serie B fixture on 13 July at 7:30 PM ET, with settlement tied to additional market offerings around the match. The 0% implied probability reflects minimal trading activity rather than certainty of outcome; such thin liquidity is typical for secondary market clusters in lower-division Brazilian football, where attention concentrates on primary match outcomes and goal-line bets.

Serie B matches involving Ceará have historically generated modest ancillary market interest, particularly when the club competes outside the top-four promotion positions. Athletic Club's recent form and league standing will determine whether traders view supplementary markets as worth pricing. Comparable fixtures from the 2024 season show that additional market clusters for Serie B games rarely attract significant volume unless one team is in genuine promotion contention or facing relegation pressure.

The settlement window closes shortly after full-time, leaving no room for delayed official announcements. Traders should monitor team news releases through 12 July for late injury confirmations or lineup changes, as these occasionally shift expectations around match structure—factors that could influence whether secondary markets attract sufficient liquidity to move from zero probability. Brazilian football authorities typically confirm final team sheets 24 hours before kick-off, providing the last material catalyst before settlement.

Methodology

We track Ceará SC vs. Athletic Club - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.