Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
CR Vasco da Gama hosts Red Bull Bragantino in Brazil's top division on 24 May, with the match kicking off at 7:30 PM ET. The 0% probability assigned to additional markets being offered suggests traders currently expect no supplementary betting options beyond standard match outcomes—a position that reflects either confidence in the existing market suite or minimal institutional demand for niche derivatives on this fixture.
Historical precedent shows that Série A fixtures between mid-table sides typically generate limited ancillary market creation unless one club carries significant betting volume or injury intrigue. Vasco and Bragantino occupy comparable competitive tiers, neither commanding the liquidity gravitational pull of São Paulo or Flamengo. Previous May fixtures in the Brazilian calendar have seen supplementary markets materialise only when injury announcements or late team news shifted trader expectations about match volatility—a threshold rarely met for routine league encounters.
The settlement window closes 24 hours after kickoff, leaving a narrow window for market operators to assess whether late-breaking squad information justifies additional offerings. Bragantino's fixture congestion in May, combined with Vasco's recent form trajectory, could trigger injury updates in the 48 hours preceding the match. Traders should monitor official team news releases and Brazilian sports outlets for squad rotation announcements, which historically prompt market expansion when they signal tactical departures from expected lineups.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $62K.
Methodology
We track CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino - More Markets on PolyGram
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