Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CA Mineiro (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CA Mineiro (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Corinthians and Mineiro meet in São Paulo on 24 May in a Série A fixture with settlement closing at 21:30 UTC. The 0% implied probability on additional markets suggests traders are either confident no supplementary betting options will be offered, or the market has attracted minimal activity. This positioning reflects broader patterns in Brazilian football markets, where secondary market offerings depend heavily on broadcaster interest and bookmaker appetite—both variables that shift considerably in the final 48 hours before kickoff.
Historical precedent shows that Série A clubs of Corinthians and Mineiro's stature typically trigger expanded market coverage from major platforms. The 2024 season saw consistent secondary market activation for comparable fixture tiers, particularly when matches involved top-four contenders or carried relegation implications. Current league standings and fixture context will determine whether bookmakers view this matchup as commercially viable for additional markets. Recent reporting from ESPN Brasil and Globo Esporte indicates May's fixture congestion has compressed market preparation timelines across the league.
Traders should monitor official team news through 23 May for injury confirmations, which often trigger market expansion when key players are ruled out. Broadcast confirmation from Globo or DAZN Brasil typically arrives 72 hours pre-match and frequently correlates with new market activation. The settlement window's proximity to kickoff (approximately 4 hours prior) means any catalyst affecting market expansion must surface by 17:30 UTC on match day. Fixture postponement remains a low-probability tail risk given Série A's fixture scheduling discipline, though weather conditions in São Paulo warrant tracking through Thursday.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $77K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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