Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions

Platform comparison

Market context

The Shenzhen Leopards face the Zhejiang Lions in a Chinese Basketball Association fixture scheduled for 23 May at 7:35 AM ET, with settlement contingent on final score including overtime. The 0% implied probability reflects either minimal trading activity or strong market consensus favouring one side, though without recent line movement data it remains unclear whether this represents genuine predictive confidence or simply thin liquidity in an early-morning matchup across Asian markets.

Historical CBA matchups between these franchises show competitive balance, though Zhejiang has maintained stronger regular-season consistency over the past two seasons. The Lions finished ahead of Shenzhen in the 2024–25 standings, which typically correlates with home-court advantage and roster depth in playoff or tournament contexts. However, single-game outcomes in the CBA remain volatile; upset victories occur regularly when travel fatigue or injury absences affect visiting teams.

Traders should monitor official CBA announcements regarding roster availability through 22 May, particularly any late injury declarations from either side. The early morning ET tipoff time suggests this may be part of a scheduled international broadcast window or tournament format, which can affect team preparation and travel logistics. Postponement risk exists given the settlement window extending to 30 May—any weather disruptions or administrative delays in China would keep the market open beyond the nominal fixture date. Confirmation of the game's actual occurrence and final scheduling should be verified through official CBA channels within 48 hours of tipoff.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.