Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna Match O/U 22.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 Winner | 100% Wild | 0% Serna |
| Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna | 100% Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0% Juan Manuel La Serna |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 0% YES probability for Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna. This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Seyboth Wild and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Piracicaba, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiag…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Piracicaba: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Juan Manuel La Serna on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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