Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Tomas Barrios | 100% Dane Sweeny | 0% Tomas Barrios |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Tomas Barrios Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Tomas Barrios Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Tomas Barrios Match O/U 40.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Tomas Barrios Set 1 Winner | 0% Sweeny | 100% Barrios |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon, qualification atp: dane sweeny vs tomas barrios. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Dane Sweeny and Tomas Barrios in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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