Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Stefan Kozlov Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to mubadala citi dc open, qualification: zachary svajda vs stefan kozlov. This market refers to the tennis match between Zachary Svajda and Stefan Kozlov in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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