Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen | 0% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of tampere: pedro boscardin dias vs otto virtanen. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Boscardin Dias and Otto Virtanen in the Tampere, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanen on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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