Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Raphael Collignon and Juan Manuel Cerúndolo have not yet settled this Eastbourne meeting, and the live market has collapsed to **0% YES**, which implies the trade is pricing in a non-finish or a very strong expectation that the match will not produce a normal winner. The match was listed for Court 5 on Monday, with live schedules showing a 09:00 UTC start, but the key issue for settlement is whether the contest is actually completed within the market’s seven-day window, not the original slot alone.[1][6][7]

The recent head-to-head gives Cerúndolo the cleaner historical edge: he leads **2-0**, including a three-set win in the Bordeaux Challenger final in May 2026, and ATP records confirm both prior meetings.[1][4][9] That said, pre-match pricing from Tennis Tonic had Collignon as the favourite, so the market was not following head-to-head alone; it was balancing surface, form and the different profiles of the two 24-year-olds.[1][2]

For traders, the immediate catalysts are simple: whether the match is moved off Court 5, delayed by the Eastbourne schedule, or postponed by weather or court congestion, and whether either player withdraws before first ball. If the match is not played at all, ends level, or slips beyond the settlement window without a winner, the market resolves 50-50; if it starts and finishes, the result determines the outcome.[1][6][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.