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Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic

Five-platform snapshot of "Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic 51% Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 Winner 51% Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 51% Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 9.5 51% Volume: $212K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic51%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 Winner51%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Total Sets: O/U 2.551%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 9.551%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 22.551%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 10.551%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 Winner50%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 21.550%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Match O/U 23.550%
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Completed Match2%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, los cabos open, qualification: tristan boyer vs bernard tomic stands at 51% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Boyer and Bernard Tomic in the Los Cabos Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This mark…

Methodology

We track Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Tristan Boyer vs Bernard Tomic across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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