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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo

Five-platform snapshot of "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.5 59% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5 51% Completed Match 50% Volume: $937K Liquidity: $430K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.559%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.551%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner49%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.545%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.544%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 2.539%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo23%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.55%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner0%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo. This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Alejandro Tabilo in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ter…

Methodology

We track Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro Tabilo across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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