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Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 Winner 100% Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $222K Liquidity: $123K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 Winner100%
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Match O/U 21.575%
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Match O/U 22.575%
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Match O/U 23.575%
Completed Match50%
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Set Handicap +/-1.523%
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato21%
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato Set 1 Winner0%

Market context

The Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Marco Cecchinato in the Milan, originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta' if Fa…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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