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PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner

Five-platform snapshot of "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Scottie Scheffler 24% Collin Morikawa 10% Chris Gotterup 9% Min Woo Lee 9% Volume: $162K Liquidity: $392K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
24% 76% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
24% 76% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Scottie Scheffler24%
Collin Morikawa10%
Chris Gotterup9%
Min Woo Lee9%
Viktor Hovland8%
Ludvig Aberg6%
Sam Burns5%
Xander Schauffele5%
Tommy Fleetwood4%
Rory McIlroy4%
Wyndham Clark3%
Matt Fitzpatrick3%
Ryan Gerard3%
Akshay Bhatia1%
Ryan Fox1%
Russell Henley1%
Tom Kim1%
Justin Rose1%
Adam Scott1%
Alex Smalley1%
Cameron Young1%
Jacob Bridgeman0%
Bud Cauley0%
Alex Fitzpatrick0%
Rickie Fowler0%
Si Woo Kim0%
Kurt Kitayama0%
Hideki Matsuyama0%
Kristoffer Reitan0%
J.J. Spaun0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 24% probability to pga tour: tour championship winner. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on …

Methodology

We track PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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