IR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Iran and New Zealand played out a 2-2 draw in Los Angeles, so the immediate change over the past 24-48 hours is that there is no longer a live match state to resolve and no obvious in-play route to additional “more markets” outcomes from this fixture itself.[1][2][3] FIFA lists the Group G match at Los Angeles Stadium on 16 June 2026, and the result is already final, with both sides taking a point.[4]

That outcome matters for reading the current 0% crowd-implied probability: for a closed football market, the only realistic path to settlement is a specific qualifying condition having been met during the match, or an exchange-style market remaining open for a separate administrative reason.[6] Comparable World Cup group games that end level tend to compress these side markets quickly once the final whistle goes, because there is no further match event flow to create a late repricing.[1][3]

For traders, the only live catalysts now are settlement mechanics, any official correction to the result or statistics, and whether the contract was written around a particular “more markets” bundle tied to discipline, corners, cards or player props rather than the scoreline itself.[1][4][6] Reuters’ post-match report confirms the 2-2 finish and the group-point split, which is the main external reference point for how the market should settle if the contract tracks the match as played.[3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews IR Iran vs. New Zealand - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.