Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Germany’s late 2-1 win over Côte d’Ivoire has already reframed the corners market, because the match produced a full 90 minutes of sustained knockout-style pressure rather than a low-event contest. Reuters reported that Deniz Undav’s stoppage-time brace sent Germany through, and ESPN’s match record confirms the result and the 2-1 scoreline, which is the key fresh datapoint for how traders will read the current 100% yes price.[2][1]
For total corners, the main historical read-through is straightforward: knockout fixtures between evenly matched sides often generate more wide play, blocked crosses and second-phase pressure, which pushes corner counts higher than group games with a tactical edge. This market is set to resolve yes if the teams combined record 12 or more corners, and the present crowd pricing implies that threshold is now being treated as virtually locked in after the live match outcome is known.[5]
The immediate catalysts are no longer pre-match line-ups but any official post-match stat corrections, match-competition rulings on the final corner tally, and whether the market’s settlement process uses the competition feed without adjustment. Kalshi’s rules say the contract resolves on the match statistics across regulation and, if relevant, extra time, so traders will mainly watch the official event data rather than team news from here.[5]
Methodology
We track Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Total Corners on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Total Corners on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Prediction Today →