# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest upload, "I Survived 7 Days," posted within the settlement window, is tracking view velocity against historical benchmarks for the creator's catalogue. The 0% probability assigned suggests traders are pricing in either delayed publication beyond the measurement period or an expectation that day-two view counts will fall below the lowest bracket threshold. No material changes in MrBeast's upload schedule or YouTube algorithm adjustments have been reported in the past 48 hours that would shift baseline expectations.

MrBeast's videos consistently achieve 40–80 million views within 48 hours, depending on content type and promotional push. His survival-format content—which includes "I Survived 7 Days in the Ocean" (2023) and similar series—typically front-loads viewership, with day-two counts representing 50–65% of the two-day total. The current zero probability implies either a technical resolution issue or that the market's bracket structure sets the floor substantially higher than historical performance would support.

Traders should monitor whether MrBeast's promotional activity across social channels (TikTok, X, Instagram) matches patterns from comparable recent uploads. YouTube's real-time view counter can lag by several hours, particularly during peak traffic periods, which may affect day-two settlement accuracy. The settlement window closes 1 June 2026 at 03:59 UTC; any ambiguity about when the 48-hour measurement period concludes should be clarified before that deadline, as view counts continue accruing beyond the measurement window.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

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How reliable are the quoted odds?

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