US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?
Yes 50%
No 50%
Vol. $92.7M
Politics prediction market · Vol. $4.0M
| Trump dances | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Trump wears a red tie | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Trump talks to Xi Jinping | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Trump signs an executive order | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Trump says "Sleepy Joe" | 0% YES | 100% NO |
This is a market over what Donald Trump will do on April 25, 2026.
The Polymarket market "Trump Today: April 25" is currently trading at 100% YES. This means thousands of traders worldwide estimate the probability of this outcome at 100%.
These prices are generated by real capital (USDC) on the Polygon network — not by bookmaker margins. They reflect the aggregated collective judgement of informed market participants.
Prediction markets like this one let informed participants put real money behind their views. Politics markets on Polymarket are characterised by deep liquidity and fast resolution. This market closes on 25 April 2026 with automatic USDC settlement.
How do I trade this market? Visit PolyGram, create an account, deposit USDC, and buy YES or NO shares. Trading takes minutes.
What happens at resolution? USDC payouts are automatically processed via smart contract on Polygon — typically within minutes of the event resolving.
Is this legal? Prediction market regulations vary by jurisdiction. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
Live data from Polymarket · updated hourly