US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?
Yes 50%
No 50%
Vol. $92.7M
Politics prediction market · Vol. $483K
| <40 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| 40-64 | 13% YES | 88% NO |
| 65-89 | 62% YES | 38% NO |
| 90-114 | 15% YES | 85% NO |
| 115-139 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| 140-164 | 1% YES | 99% NO |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 27 12:00 PM ET to April 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by th
The Polymarket market "Elon Musk # tweets April 27 - April 29, 2026?" is currently trading at 0% YES. This means thousands of traders worldwide estimate the probability of this outcome at 0%.
These prices are generated by real capital (USDC) on the Polygon network — not by bookmaker margins. They reflect the aggregated collective judgement of informed market participants.
Prediction markets like this one let informed participants put real money behind their views. Politics markets on Polymarket are characterised by deep liquidity and fast resolution. This market closes on 29 April 2026 with automatic USDC settlement.
How do I trade this market? Visit PolyGram, create an account, deposit USDC, and buy YES or NO shares. Trading takes minutes.
What happens at resolution? USDC payouts are automatically processed via smart contract on Polygon — typically within minutes of the event resolving.
Is this legal? Prediction market regulations vary by jurisdiction. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
Live data from Polymarket · updated hourly