Ethereum price on May 26?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Ethereum's price action over the past 48 hours has remained subdued, with ETH/USDT trading in a narrow band around the $2,200–$2,400 range as broader crypto markets await clarity on Federal Reserve policy and macroeconomic conditions heading into summer 2026. The zero probability assigned to this market reflects the settlement mechanism's specificity: resolution depends on the precise closing price of the 1-minute candle at noon ET on 26 May 2026, a technical constraint that makes any single price bracket an outlier event rather than a baseline expectation.

Historical precedent from similar intraday price-bracket markets shows that when crowd probability collapses to zero, it typically signals either extreme confidence in a narrow price corridor or genuine uncertainty about whether the underlying asset will trade at all during the settlement window. Ethereum's 24-hour volatility has averaged 3–5% in recent weeks, well within normal parameters for a $2 trillion asset class, yet the zero reading suggests traders view the specific bracket in question as statistically improbable given current spot levels and implied volatility.

Watch for scheduled announcements from major exchanges regarding trading halts or maintenance windows on 26 May, as any disruption to Binance's ETH/USDT pair could affect settlement. Separately, any significant moves in Bitcoin—which typically drives Ethereum correlation—during the 48 hours preceding the settlement date will shape intraday volatility and the likelihood of extreme price moves at noon ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.