Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
Market context
MrBeast’s latest upload is still the only thing that matters here: the market settles on the video’s view count after 144 hours, and the tape suggests it has already landed in the upper part of the range. The crowd is pricing 0% for a YES outcome in the sense of the listed current bracket, which usually indicates the observed count has moved beyond the remaining lower bands or the market has become effectively one-sided. In practical terms, day-six view totals on MrBeast videos tend to be heavy-tailed, with an initial burst from launch-day promotion followed by a slower decay, so once a video clears the early surge it often spends the later part of the window grinding upwards rather than jumping between brackets.
The clearest comparables are his recent large-format uploads, which have frequently built most of their 144-hour total in the first two to three days, then added a smaller but still material tail through day six. MrBeast’s channel scale remains extreme by YouTube standards, with hundreds of millions of subscribers across his ecosystem and a long record of multi-million view accumulation over a single week. That matters because even modest changes in retention, homepage distribution, or Shorts spillover can shift a video across a bracket once the market is near a boundary; the resolution rule also favours the higher band if the final count lands exactly between two ranges.
For the next 24-48 hours, traders should watch the public view counter on the channel page, any follow-up post from MrBeast, and whether the video receives a second-wave push through community posts, Shorts, or collaborator accounts. Recent commentary on YouTube distribution, including vidIQ’s discussion of MrBeast’s declining per-video views and the platform’s increasingly spread-out attention, is relevant mainly as background: it points to a thinner tail than in earlier eras, but not necessarily to a collapse in week-one totals. The key dependency remains simple: how much incremental traffic the video can still pull before the 144-hour clock closes.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade # of views of MrBeast video day 6? on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →