"Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office

Platform comparison

Market context

Minions & Monsters has already grossed $14.23m on its opening Wednesday, securing an A- CinemaScore and topping the domestic chart ahead of the July 4 holiday. This strong first-day performance, which beat earlier tracking of $13.75m, has pushed the crowd-implied probability for a high opening weekend to 86% YES, as the film now sits firmly on track to dominate the five-day holiday period.

Historically, Wednesday openings for animated films in July have shown modest dips into Thursday, with Minions & Monsters down 24% on par with Despicable Me 4's 25% drop. Previous franchise entries like Despicable Me 2 and Despicable Me 4 opened to $35m and $27.2m respectively on Wednesday, suggesting that while the current $14.23m is solid, the holiday boost will be the decisive factor in reaching the $80m consensus target.

Traders should watch today's domestic figures, as the July 4 holiday is expected to spike attendance, though Saturday may see a slight ease due to public festivities. The film's international expansion to 59 additional territories this weekend, following a $10m debut in ten markets, could further bolster global totals, while competing releases like Toy Story 5 and Supergirl remain secondary to the Minion juggernaut. Deadline reports the film is already at $62.6m worldwide after two days, reinforcing the bullish outlook for the domestic bracket. [1][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.