US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?
Yes 50%
No 50%
Vol. $92.7M
Markets prediction market · Vol. $117.0M
| Albania | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Austria | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Belgium | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Croatia | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Czechia | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Estonia | 0% YES | 100% NO |
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official
The Polymarket market "Eurovision Winner 2026" is currently trading at 0% YES. This means thousands of traders worldwide estimate the probability of this outcome at 0%.
These prices are generated by real capital (USDC) on the Polygon network — not by bookmaker margins. They reflect the aggregated collective judgement of informed market participants.
Prediction markets like this one let informed participants put real money behind their views. Markets markets on Polymarket are characterised by deep liquidity and fast resolution. This market closes on 16 May 2026 with automatic USDC settlement.
How do I trade this market? Visit PolyGram, create an account, deposit USDC, and buy YES or NO shares. Trading takes minutes.
What happens at resolution? USDC payouts are automatically processed via smart contract on Polygon — typically within minutes of the event resolving.
Is this legal? Prediction market regulations vary by jurisdiction. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
Live data from Polymarket · updated hourly