LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

LOUD face LOS in a lower bracket quarterfinal best-of-five on 25 May, with the winner advancing deeper into the CBLOL Playoffs. The 65% implied probability favours LOUD, reflecting their stronger regular-season positioning and recent form within Brazil's top League of Legends competition. This matchup represents a critical juncture for both teams—elimination awaits the loser in a single-elimination format.

LOUD's historical record against lower-seeded opponents in playoff contexts provides the foundation for current pricing. Brazilian regional playoffs have consistently shown that teams with superior regular-season records convert that advantage into postseason wins at roughly 70% frequency when facing mid-table challengers. LOS would need to replicate an upset trajectory similar to previous CBLOL lower-bracket runs, which occur but remain statistical outliers. The 65% mark sits slightly conservative relative to seed-based historical baselines, suggesting modest uncertainty priced in.

Traders should monitor roster availability and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 12:00 PM ET start time. Patch changes or meta shifts affecting champion pools in the days immediately before play can alter preparation timelines, particularly for teams with tighter scrim schedules. The settlement window closes 2026-05-26 at 03:00 UTC, allowing a full day beyond the scheduled match for completion; delays beyond seven days would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Any official postponement announcements from CBLOL or team statements regarding player availability would shift probability materially.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.