What price will Bitcoin hit on June 28?

Platform comparison

Market context

Bitcoin’s price on June 28, 2026, settled at approximately $59,943, a figure that aligns tightly with the market’s 100% confidence in the $58,000–$60,000 range[1][5]. This outcome reflects a period of relative stability following a sharp decline from the October 2025 all-time high of $126,198, with June marking the lowest point of the year at $17,708 before a modest rebound[4][7]. The current 0% probability assigned to prices below $56,000 underscores how traders have priced in a floor near $58,000, consistent with historical support levels observed in early 2026 when Bitcoin hovered between $60,000 and $73,000[7].

Traders should monitor upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and any shifts in U.S. inflation data, as these remain primary catalysts for crypto volatility[2]. Recent analysis from Fortune highlights that institutional adoption continues to drive long-term price models, with some projections suggesting Bitcoin could reach $444,000 by mid-2026 if global M2 money supply expands further[6]. Additionally, the scheduled resolution of the broader “June 22–28” market on or around June 29, 2026, may trigger short-term liquidity shifts as positions close[2]. With Robinhood’s price range contracts also centred near $60,200, the convergence of multiple markets reinforces the $58,000–$60,000 band as the dominant expectation[3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.