Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Germany | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Germany have already shown, in the real match, that this pairing can produce a first-half twist: Côte d’Ivoire led 1-0 at the break before Germany turned it around after half-time to win 2-1.[1][2][3] That matters for reading the current **0% YES** on a halftime-result market, because the live evidence from the fixture itself points to a game state where Germany were not the side dictating the opening 45 minutes.[1][3] The market is therefore pricing an outcome that would need Germany to go in ahead at the interval, despite the only reported halftime scoreline in this meeting being the reverse.[1][3]
For traders, the key catalysts are simple: official team sheets, any late injury or rotation news, and whether either side is managing the group-stage schedule with knockout qualification already secured or still on the line. BBC’s live coverage noted both teams had started the match with progression implications attached, and Germany’s eventual recovery came only after a tactical and personnel change, including Deniz Undav’s introduction from the bench.[3] In that sort of setup, halftime prices can move sharply on confirmed line-ups, especially if a coach loads the side with conservative midfielders or rests a forward who usually drives early pressure. The halftime settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC, so any pre-match disruption, weather delay or change to kick-off timing would also matter for order and execution.
Methodology
This page reviews Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Halftime Result across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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