Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 13.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Korea Republic face Czechia on 11 June in a World Cup group-stage match, with the corners total market currently showing zero probability for the YES outcome. This suggests traders are pricing an expectation well below historical norms for competitive international fixtures at tournament level, where corner frequency typically clusters between 8 and 14 per match depending on tactical setup and team aggression.
Historical data from recent World Cup tournaments shows corner totals rarely fall to extreme lows. In Qatar 2022, group-stage matches averaged 10.2 corners across all fixtures, with only three matches dropping below seven corners in the entire tournament. Korea Republic's recent form includes matches against stronger European sides where corner counts ranged from 9 to 13, whilst Czechia's qualifying campaign produced consistent corner volumes in the 9–12 range. The current zero probability reading appears disconnected from these baseline expectations, suggesting either a significant data lag or an unusual settlement threshold definition that traders are interpreting as unlikely to be breached.
No major team news has emerged in the past 48 hours that would justify such an extreme probability shift. Both squads are expected to field competitive lineups for a group-stage fixture where qualification points remain contested. Traders should monitor official team sheets released 24 hours before kickoff, as injury withdrawals affecting attacking or defensive personnel could influence corner generation. The settlement window closes shortly after full-time, leaving minimal window for late-breaking tactical adjustments to shift the underlying match dynamics.
Methodology
We track Korea Republic vs. Czechia - Total Corners on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Korea Republic vs. Czechia - Total Corners on Prediction Today
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