Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
10% | 90% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
10% | 90% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5) | 10% Côte d'Ivoire | 91% Ecuador |
| Ecuador (-1.5) | 14% Ecuador | 86% Côte d'Ivoire |
| Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5) | 3% Côte d'Ivoire | 97% Ecuador |
| Ecuador (-2.5) | 5% Ecuador | 95% Côte d'Ivoire |
| O/U 0.5 | 86% Over | 14% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 60% Over | 41% Under |
Market context
Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador meet in a World Cup group stage fixture on 14 June 2026, with the market currently pricing a "more markets" outcome at 10 per cent. This settlement hinges on whether additional betting markets or trading venues open for this specific match beyond those already available at the time of the question. The fixture itself carries standard World Cup scheduling—evening kick-off in North America—but the secondary question concerns market infrastructure rather than match outcome.
Historical precedent suggests major World Cup matches consistently attract expanded market offerings as tournament dates approach. Previous editions saw progressive market proliferation across established platforms in the final fortnight before matches, particularly for group stage games involving nations with significant betting populations. Ecuador's South American profile and Côte d'Ivoire's African presence both represent markets with demonstrated betting interest, though neither commands the liquidity draw of European or traditional Anglo-sphere nations. The 10 per cent probability reflects scepticism that additional venues will materialise beyond baseline coverage.
Traders should monitor regulatory announcements from major betting jurisdictions through early June, as licensing decisions for World Cup markets typically crystallise four to six weeks before tournament play. Recent precedent from the 2022 Qatar World Cup showed market expansion accelerating sharply in the final three weeks, driven by both retail demand and institutional platform decisions. The settlement window closing at 23:00 UTC on match day means any markets opening on the day itself would count, creating a narrow but material window for late-stage platform launches targeting casual or regional audiences.
Methodology
This page reviews Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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