Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
27% | 73% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
27% | 73% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Canada (-1.5) | 27% Canada | 74% Bosnia and Herzegovina |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) | 7% Bosnia and Herzegovina | 94% Canada |
| Canada (-2.5) | 11% Canada | 90% Bosnia and Herzegovina |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5) | 1% Bosnia and Herzegovina | 99% Canada |
| O/U 0.5 | 91% Over | 10% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 69% Over | 32% Under |
Market context
Canada face Bosnia and Herzegovina in a FIFA World Cup qualifier on 12 June 2026, with the match scheduled for 3:00 PM ET. The 27% implied probability for additional markets being offered reflects moderate uncertainty about whether supplementary betting options will be made available beyond standard match outcomes. This hinges partly on operator discretion and demand patterns observed in similar qualifying fixtures.
Canada's recent World Cup campaign—their first appearance since 1986—provides limited direct precedent for how markets develop around their qualifier matches. Bosnia and Herzegovina, conversely, have qualified for two World Cups (2014, 2018) and typically attract broader market coverage. Historical patterns suggest that matches involving established World Cup nations generate more ancillary markets, though Canada's growing profile in international competition may alter this dynamic. The 27% figure sits below the baseline for European qualifiers, suggesting traders view this fixture as less likely to receive expanded market offerings than comparable contests.
Operators' decisions on market expansion typically follow fixture prominence and trading volume signals in the preceding 48 hours. Recent UEFA and CONCACAF scheduling announcements, along with any injury updates or squad roster confirmations released before the settlement window closes on 12 June at 19:00 UTC, could shift operator appetite for additional markets. Monitoring betting volumes on core match markets and operator communications from major platforms in the days immediately before the fixture will signal whether supplementary options materialise.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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