Market statistics
- Total volume
- $398K
- 24h volume
- $396K
- Open interest
- $139K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Available prediction outcomes (6)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
Sentinels face NRG in a best-of-three Valorant match scheduled for 10 May at 8:00 PM ET as part of VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega. The current 0% implied probability for Sentinels suggests the market has already settled on an NRG victory or reflects extreme uncertainty about match completion. With the settlement window closing 11 May at 06:30 UTC, there is minimal buffer beyond the scheduled date—any significant delay would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause rather than await a rescheduled result.
Sentinels have historically been a top-tier North American Valorant organisation, though roster changes and competitive fluctuations have affected their consistency in recent VCT seasons. NRG has shown variable performance depending on their lineup composition and meta alignment. When one team enters a match with zero implied probability, it typically reflects either recent roster announcements heavily favouring the opponent, documented form disparities, or market illiquidity rather than certainty of outcome. Forfeiture or disqualification scenarios are rare in professional Valorant but have occurred when teams face logistical or administrative issues.
Traders should monitor official VCT Americas announcements for any last-minute roster changes, player availability issues, or schedule adjustments. The seven-day grace period before forced 50-50 resolution means matches delayed beyond 17 May would not settle on the actual result. Recent VCT broadcasts have generally proceeded on schedule, though technical delays within match days are common. Confirmation of both teams' participation and equipment readiness typically comes 24 hours before fixture time.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_americas. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stag… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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