Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Map 3 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs Looking For Laburo (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map Handicap: KRÜ (-2.5) vs Looking For Laburo (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Blaze (-3.5) vs Looking For Laburo (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Blaze (-3.5) vs Looking For Laburo (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Blaze (-3.5) vs Looking For Laburo (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Blaze (-2.5) vs Looking For Laburo (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Blaze (-2.5) vs Looking For Laburo (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Blaze (-2.5) vs Looking For Laburo (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 4 Winner | 50% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Blaze (-3.5) vs Looking For Laburo (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Blaze (-3.5) vs Looking For Laburo (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 4 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Blaze (-2.5) vs Looking For Laburo (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 5 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Blaze (-2.5) vs Looking For Laburo (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
Market context
KRÜ Blaze have already taken this series, with recent bracket pages and match listings showing a 3-0 grand final win over Looking For Laburo on 24 August after KRÜ had earlier won the upper final 2-1. That means the market’s 100% YES pricing had effectively been aligned with a result that was, in the event, already settled by the time the settlement window closed.
The cleaner read on this market comes from the bracket path rather than the headline price. KRÜ Blaze entered the final after beating NPC Team and then edging Looking For Laburo in the upper final, while Looking For Laburo reached the decider through the lower bracket after a 3-2 win over NPC Team. In a double-elimination playoff, that route usually marks KRÜ as the side with the stronger series profile, especially after they had already beaten the same opponent in the preceding meeting.
For traders watching live resolution risk, the key catalysts were whether the grand final started as scheduled on 24 August and whether any official postponement or bracket adjustment pushed it beyond the market’s resolution cut-off. Tournament listings had the final fixed for 24 August, and later results pages recorded the match as completed, so the main dependency was simply that the BO5 was played rather than cancelled or delayed past the window.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
Trade Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs Looking For Laburo (BO5) - VC… on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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