Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 4 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
FUT Esports face Gentle Mates in an upper bracket semifinal of the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2 on 23 May at 11:00 AM ET. The match determines progression within the tournament structure, with the winner advancing and the loser dropping to the lower bracket. Both teams compete in the European Valorant ecosystem where roster stability and recent form carry material weight in determining outcomes.
The 0% implied probability reflects either minimal trading activity or a strong consensus that FUT Esports are heavily favoured. Historical context matters here: FUT Esports have established themselves as a consistent top-tier European side with multiple international tournament appearances, whilst Gentle Mates operate at a lower tier of regional competition. When probability readings reach extremes in esports markets, they often indicate either genuine skill disparity or insufficient liquidity rather than genuine uncertainty. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on 23 May, allowing only the scheduled match window for resolution.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding roster changes or player availability in the week preceding the match, as stand-ins or last-minute substitutions have historically shifted competitive balance in Valorant qualifiers. Fixture scheduling delays remain a secondary consideration given the tournament's established infrastructure. Any official postponement beyond 7 days triggers a 50-50 resolution, creating a distinct risk vector separate from match outcome uncertainty. Current fixture timing aligns with standard EMEA qualifier scheduling, with no reported complications as of the market's opening.
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO5) - Esport… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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