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LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Odd/Even Total Kills 90% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 10% Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 10% Volume: $295K Liquidity: $153K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Match Winner0%

Market context

ZYB Esport have already beaten Skillcamp Esport 1-0 in this LFL summer split meeting, so the live state of the market is no longer about pre-match uncertainty but about how the result is reflected at settlement. Public match trackers show the BO1 completed with a Skillcamp vs ZYB scoreline of 0–1, which is the kind of clean finish that usually removes most late ambiguity from a head-to-head market.[2][7]

Before the game resolved, comparable signals pointed to a modest Skillcamp edge rather than a coin flip: Strafe’s community vote had Skillcamp on 68.4% and ZYB on 31.6%.[1] That kind of crowd split suggests the 0% YES reading on ZYB was already detached from sentiment and would only make sense if the market had effectively discounted a ZYB win to near-zero once results or external information came in.[1]

The main catalysts to watch are simple: official match confirmation, whether the BO1 is logged as complete by tournament trackers, and whether any later correction changes the recorded winner or turns the fixture into a voided result.[2][5] For a market with a settlement window ending at 23:00 UTC, the key issue is not competitive form but whether the league and score providers continue to show a completed ZYB win for this specific fixture; if the match record stays intact, there is little room left for a different outcome.[2][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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