Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Winthrop’s lower-bracket meeting with Maryville was played on 21 May and finished 3-2 to Winthrop, so the market has already been decided on the match result rather than on any delayed update. The crowd-implied 100% yes price makes sense only as a stale read against a completed playoff series; once the scoreline is known, the resolution should follow the match winner, not the pre-match expectation.
The main comparator is their recent North American Challengers League history: Maryville had the stronger reputation coming into the split, with Liquipedia and college esports coverage noting their Summer 2024 title run, while Winthrop were widely viewed as the side needing a clean playoff run to avoid relegation pressure. In the same event cycle, these teams have already been tracked by result pages on bo3.gg and Sofascore, and the 3-2 finish is materially different from the kind of one-sided Maryville wins that shaped earlier pricing.
For traders, the only live catalyst now is administrative confirmation: the official bracket result, any series protest, or a rare post-match ruling that could affect settlement timing. The market window closes at 02:00 UTC on 22 May, so the key watch is whether the organiser, Riot-linked tournament channels, or major results aggregators confirm Winthrop as the winner before then. If the recorded result stands, there is little scope for a different outcome.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
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