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LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $3K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Game 4 Winner75%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game 3 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 3.5 Games0%
O/U 4.5 Games0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%

Market context

Team Solid and RMD Gaming were due to meet in the Circuito Desafiante Play-In lower-bracket final, with the match listed to start on 12 August at 20:00 UTC, but there is no confirmed result in the live listings provided here. The market’s 0% crowd-implied probability is therefore a clean read on *today’s outlook*: it reflects a game that has been scheduled, not yet settled, rather than any verified on-server outcome.[1][12]

Recent head-to-head form gives mixed signals. RMD Gaming beat Team Solid 1-0 in their March regular-season meeting, while Team Solid reversed that in July with a 1-0 win of its own; both sides have already shown they can take a map off the other in this split.[2][5][9] That kind of split head-to-head is usually less decisive than broader form, but it does show the pairing has been competitive rather than one-sided.[2][7][9]

The main catalysts to watch are simple: whether the series actually starts on schedule, whether the bracket and stream listings remain aligned, and whether any rescheduling pushes the fixture past the market’s seven-day limit, which would trigger a 50-50 result if no winner is determined. Current event pages still list the match in the Play-In stage, and some bracket/schedule pages continue to show it as an upcoming BO5, so the key risk for traders is administrative delay rather than a change in competitive state.[1][3][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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