LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B

Platform comparison

Market context

Team Secret and Sentinels face off in the League of Legends Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 at the Esports World Cup Group B today, with the match set for 09:00 UTC. While the crowd-implied probability on this prediction market sits at 0% for a Team Secret victory, community voting platforms show a starkly different sentiment, with 70.3% of users backing Secret to win against the American squad [2]. This divergence mirrors historical cases where prediction market liquidity lags behind community sentiment, particularly in early-stage tournament matches where niche markets attract fewer professional traders than mainstream betting venues.

The primary catalyst for traders is the match start time and any potential delay announcements, as the settlement window closes at 15:45 UTC on 15 July 2026. Recent schedule data confirms the match is scheduled for 09:00 UTC as an s-tier Group B upper bracket semifinal, with no indication of cancellation yet [4]. Traders should monitor official Esports World Cup channels for any last-minute roster changes or technical delays, as a match delay beyond seven days without a winner would force a 50-50 resolution, while a cancellation would also trigger this neutral outcome. The current 0% probability likely reflects a lack of liquidity rather than a genuine belief in Sentinels' dominance, given the overwhelming community vote for Secret [2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.