Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% Solary | 0% UCAM Esports Club |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 100% Solary | 0% UCAM Esports Club |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Solary | 0% UCAM Esports Club |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% Solary | 0% UCAM Esports Club |
| Game 3 Winner | 100% Solary | 0% UCAM Esports Club |
| Game 4 Winner | 50% Solary | 50% UCAM Esports Club |
Market context
Solary face UCAM Esports Club in the EMEA Masters League of Legends semifinal on 14 June, with the winner advancing to the grand final. The match is scheduled for 11:00 AM ET and will be played as a best-of-five series. No material changes to fixture status or team roster have emerged in the past 48 hours; both organisations remain active in their respective regional competitions.
The 100% implied probability reflects Solary's standing as the stronger-seeded team and their recent performance trajectory within EMEA Masters competition. Historical precedent in EMEA Masters playoffs shows that higher-seeded teams advance in approximately 75% of semifinal matchups, though upsets do occur when lower-seeded squads field cohesive rosters or exploit meta shifts. UCAM's path to the semifinal suggests competitive capability, but Solary's consistency in regular-season play and prior playoff experience typically favours them in extended series formats.
Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters scheduling channels and both teams' social media for any last-minute roster changes or technical issues that could delay proceedings beyond the 7-day window triggering a 50-50 resolution. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on 14 June, providing a 10-hour buffer after the scheduled start time. Fixture cancellations remain unlikely given the professional infrastructure supporting EMEA Masters, though internet connectivity disruptions or unforeseen circumstances could theoretically force postponement. No recent announcements suggest either team faces eligibility concerns or significant player absences.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Master… on Prediction Today
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