LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stage

Platform comparison

Market context

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming and Ground Zero Gaming are due to meet in a best-of-five LCP Group Stage series, with the market still implying **0%** for a Hawks win. The live setup matters because a BO5 creates more room for variance than a single map, but it also leaves less room for a complete market reset unless the series is actually played and completed within the settlement window. The match is listed for 6 August at 09:00 UTC, and current listings show it as an upcoming LCP round match rather than a completed result.[3][7][12]

The recent head-to-head gives Hawks supporters the clearest historical anchor: Strafe records three prior meetings, with Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming winning all three, including a 2–0 win in their most recent clash on 12 April 2026.[3][1] That said, current form in the split has been less clean than the head-to-head suggests. LCP standings show Ground Zero Gaming at 4–3 and 4th place, while Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming sit 6th at 3–4, which helps explain why the market is not pricing Hawks as a straightforward favourite despite the matchup history.[2]

For traders, the main catalysts are simple: whether the series actually starts on schedule, whether the LCP maintains the planned BO5 format, and whether any late schedule change or postponement pushes the match outside the seven-day settlement rule. Current match pages and live-score listings indicate the fixture is active and awaiting play, so the key risk is operational rather than interpretative until the opening draft or first game begins.[5][7][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

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