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LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Volume: $181K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%

Market context

ROSSMANN Centaurs face E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS in a Prime League best-of-three fixture scheduled for 23 July at 1:00 PM ET. The 0% crowd probability reflects either extreme confidence in one side or minimal trading activity on this particular matchup. With settlement closing at 23:45 UTC the same day, the window allows only for same-day resolution, making schedule adherence critical; any delay beyond 7 days triggers a 50-50 split.

The Prime League 1st Division Group A operates within the German League of Legends ecosystem, where roster stability and recent form carry outsized weight in lower-volume markets. Historical precedent suggests that German regional league matches rarely cancel outright, though technical delays do occur. The 0% reading likely indicates either that traders have not yet engaged with this market in volume, or that one team's recent performance has created such a disparity in perceived strength that the crowd sees no meaningful uncertainty.

Traders should monitor official Prime League scheduling announcements through the league's website and social channels for any fixture changes in the 48 hours before match time. Team rosters, recent scrim results, and any last-minute substitutions announced on 22–23 July could shift sentiment sharply if either side fields an unexpected lineup. The tight settlement window means that any technical issues preventing a decisive result by late evening UTC would force the 50-50 outcome, a tail risk worth tracking given the compressed timeframe.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO… on Prediction Today

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