LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C

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Market context

Nongshim Esports Academy face Weibo Gaming Youth Team in a League of Legends Asia Masters Group C match scheduled for 9 June at 6:00 AM ET. The 100% implied probability reflects the match's status as a scheduled fixture with no reported cancellations or complications as of the settlement window opening. Both organisations field competitive academy rosters within the Asia Masters framework, a regional competition designed to develop emerging talent alongside established professional circuits.

Youth academy competitions historically show high fixture completion rates, with cancellations typically occurring only when organisations withdraw entirely from tournaments or face severe logistical disruptions. Nongshim's academy programme has maintained consistent participation in regional events, whilst Weibo Gaming's youth division similarly operates as an established component of the parent organisation's development structure. The 100% probability suggests market participants view fixture completion as near-certain given both teams' operational stability and the tournament's scheduled format.

Traders should monitor official Asia Masters communications for any roster changes, scheduling adjustments, or withdrawal announcements through the settlement window closing on 9 June at 15:30 UTC. The seven-day delay clause means matches postponed beyond 16 June would trigger market resolution to "No" if no winner is determined. Fixture confirmation typically arrives 24–48 hours before match time; absence of such confirmation approaching the scheduled date would be the primary catalyst for reassessing completion probability.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.