LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

Market context

Movistar KOI face GAM Esports in the League of Legends Lower Bracket semifinal at the Esports World Cup Group C today, with the match set to begin at 9:40 AM ET. The crowd-implied probability sits at 100% for a KOI victory, reflecting their dominance in the group stage where they defeated GAM 1–0 in a 30-minute game last year, securing a 14–7 kill advantage and advancing to the Upper Bracket Final [2][4].

Historical data from the 2025 Esports World Cup shows KOI as the clear favourite with a 60% win rate versus GAM’s 50%, and bookmakers priced KOI at 1.42 odds, underscoring their superior team ranking (28th vs 34th) and recent form [5]. While KOI had two consecutive losses before that match, their overall recent win rate exceeded 70%, whereas GAM hovered at 50%, suggesting a consistent performance gap that traders should treat as a reliable baseline for today’s outcome [6].

Traders should monitor the official Esports World Cup schedule for any delays or cancellations, as unresolved matches beyond seven days trigger a 50–50 settlement. No recent roster changes or injury announcements have been reported for either side, but KOI’s upcoming match against Bilibili Gaming on July 15 at 10:10 UTC may influence player fatigue or strategic focus, with Bilibili currently ranked first globally and predicted to win with 77% advantage [10]. The match’s completion is critical, as even a partial start without a winner still resolves to the team that wins the completed portion.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.