LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

The match between Ici Japon Corp. Esport and Skillcamp Esport is scheduled for a best-of-one in the LFL regular season, and the main change in the last 24-48 hours is that it is now the live, same-day event rather than a future fixture.[2][14] That matters for a market sitting at **0% YES**, because the only realistic path to settlement now is the game being completed and officially recorded before the window closes; if it is not played, or slips more than seven days, the market resolves 50-50 under the rules.

The historical framing is straightforward: these teams have already met once in this split’s cycle, with Ici Japon Corp. winning 1-0 on 23 April.[1][4][8] Market history and third-party listings also lean to Ici Japon Corp. as the stronger side, with one pre-match view putting them at 100% and another live market showing them favoured over Skillcamp by a few points, although those prices are not the same as an official result.[5][9][15] In practical terms, the current 0% crowd price looks less like a read on competitive strength and more like a reflection that the market is either deeply mispriced or effectively treating the event as not going to resolve to a team win.

The catalysts to watch are simple: confirmed start time, whether the series is still listed as a BO1, and any official postponement or cancellation notice from the tournament or match tracker.[2][14][17] Because the market’s settlement window ends at 22:00 UTC, any delay that pushes the game outside that same-day recording window is material for resolution, and a last-minute schedule change would matter more here than usual.[11] If the fixture goes ahead on schedule, the outcome should be determined quickly; if it does not, the 50-50 fallback becomes the key state to monitor.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.