Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% G2 NORD | 0% WLGaming Esports |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% G2 NORD | 100% WLGaming Esports |
| Match Winner | 100% G2 NORD | 0% WLGaming Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5) | 0% G2 NORD | 100% WLGaming Esports |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
G2 NORD and WLGaming Esports are set to play a best-of-three decider match in EMEA Masters Group C on 12 June at 2:00PM ET. The 100% crowd probability reflects the match's status as a scheduled fixture with no reported cancellations or complications as of the settlement window opening. Both organisations have competing interests in advancing from the group stage, making the fixture a genuine competitive encounter rather than a formality.
EMEA Masters matches rarely face cancellation once scheduled, though technical disruptions or player availability issues have occasionally forced rescheduling within the seven-day grace period outlined in the resolution criteria. G2's track record in regional competition and WLGaming's performance trajectory will determine the likely outcome, but the market's current pricing suggests minimal uncertainty about the match occurring as planned. Historical precedent from previous EMEA Masters seasons shows that group-stage deciders between established organisations proceed without material delays.
Traders should monitor official League of Legends esports announcements for any roster changes, player illness, or technical infrastructure issues affecting either team in the 48 hours before kickoff. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on 12 June, providing a narrow window for match completion. Any announcement regarding venue changes, broadcast delays, or team availability would shift the probability away from the current consensus. Confirmation of the match proceeding on schedule typically arrives 24–36 hours before fixture time through official EMEA Masters channels.
Methodology
We track LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Master… on Prediction Today
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