LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

Market context

DN SOOPers and HANJIN BRION are due to meet in the LCK Rise Group, with the market sitting at **36%** for DN SOOPers after a recent price that still leaves HANJIN BRION as the narrower favourite. The fixture is listed for 02:00 UTC on 2 August, and the latest match pages show it as an upcoming best-of-three in the Round 3-4 Rise Group[1][3].

The current read is anchored by their recent head-to-head, which has gone HANJIN BRION’s way in the last two LCK rounds. Match databases show HANJIN BRION beat DN SOOPers 2-0 in both the Rounds 1-2 series and an earlier LCK meeting on 15 May, while a July KeSPA Cup meeting also went to HANJIN BRION[6][11][14][15]. That history matters because these teams have generally separated by execution rather than single-game variance, and the market price implies traders still see DN SOOPers with a live upset chance rather than a true coin flip[7][16].

What to watch now is confirmation that the scheduled slot holds and that line-ups are unchanged, because late roster or schedule edits can move short-series pricing quickly. The standings pages also frame the stakes: BRION have been closer to the middle of the Rise Group, while DN SOOPers have sat near the bottom on season results, which tends to keep attention on whether DN SOOPers can convert early-map momentum into a series win[3][9]. A start-time slip beyond the settlement window, or any cancellation, would push the market towards its fallback rules rather than a team result.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.